Saturday, August 2, 2014

2014.08.02 VIX Cycle Model Chart

2014.08.01 VIX Cycle Model Chart



















The VIX cycle model suggests that we will continue to see an increase in volatility from now until the end of 2014. The model lagged behind the price curve for a month, and readers should keep this in mind when interpreting the model output. A previous model which also includes a z-score is seen below and here.


2014.05.09 VIX Cycle Model

Sunday, July 27, 2014

2014.07.25 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2014.07.25 Gold Cycle Model




















The gold cycle model seems to be suggesting that a multi-year bottom for gold is now past and that gold prices are headed higher with an approximate price maximum of 2700 in the late 2015 time frame.A previous iteration of the gold cycle model can be found here and below.

2014.04.25 Gold Cycle Model