Saturday, September 20, 2014

2014.09.19 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2014.09.19 Silver Cycle Model Chart


















The silver cycle model suggests lower prices for silver until the end of the year, reaching a price of about $1600.  This model has been performing well, as can be seen from the chart below and here. As previously noted, the model has undergone a phase change going forwards, resulting in a pseudo-cyclical price curve going forwards. The silver price appears to be range bound between about $1600 and $2200 until at least the beginning of 2016.


2014.01.17 Silver Cycle Model Chart

Sunday, September 14, 2014

2014.09.12 VIX Cycle Model Chart

2014.09.12 VIX Cycle Model Chart



















The VIX cycle model continues to suggest higher levels for the VIX into the end of 2014. The model cannot capture the "volatility of volatility" so it should be interpreted cautiously, especially at short time frames.  A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here.


2014.08.01 VIX Cycle Model Chart