Saturday, March 28, 2015

2015.03.27 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2015.03.27 Silver Cycle Model Chart


















The silver cycle model is performing reasonably well, and suggests that the March/April maximum in price may have already passed. We are looking for a minimum in the July/August time frame at $1400.  Below is the silver cycle model run from 2014.12.12, also on the blog here.


2014.12.12 Silver Cycle Model Chart

Sunday, March 22, 2015

2015.03.20 VIX Cycle Model Chart

2015.03.20 VIX Cycle Model Chart

















The VIX cycle model suggests rising pressure for a strong VIX reversal to the upside, with a Z-score >3.  Since June, 2014 there have been a series of "higher lows" in line with the cycle model, which unfortunately cannot capture the up and down short term spikes.