Friday, July 17, 2015

2015.07.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2015.07.17 Gold Cycle Model Chart

















The gold cycle model stubbornly suggests higher gold prices into the Fall, 2015. At the end of 2008, there was a similar period of time where the z-score was just over 4 and a reversal occurred. You can see this in the long term chart area. The previous iteration is shown below and here on the blog



2015.06.05 Gold Cycle Model Chart

Sunday, July 12, 2015

2015.07.10 VIX Cycle Model Chart

2015.07.10 VIX Cycle Model Chart

















The VIX cycle model suggests increasing upward pressure on the VIX index going into the Fall of 2015. As you can see from the previous iteration of the model shown below and here on the blog, the Z-score approaching 2 on the last iteration suggested a reversal in the index which has occurred.  The current Z-score is close to zero, suggesting the index will remain, on average, around the 14-17 range until September 2015.


2015.07.10 VIX Cycle Model Chart