Saturday, December 19, 2015

2015.12.18 VIX Cycle Model Chart

2015.12.18 VIX Cycle Model Chart

















The VIX cycle model continues to suggest a rise in the index which accelerates at the beginning of 2016. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and on the blog.



2015.11.13 VIX Cycle Model Chart

Monday, December 14, 2015

2015.12.14 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2015.12.14 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

















The Amex oil index cycle model suggests that the recent decrease in the index price is temporary, and there is very strong upward pressure on prices. It is possible that the index has still to hit the low, but that possibility is low if the model is valid. Last time in mid-August where this much divergence occurred between actual and predicted price, the price reverted back to the predictive curve 'attractor.' A previous iteration of the model is shown on the blog and below.



2015.11.20 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart